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Friday, 10 February 2012

Man Utd v Liverpool Odds: Back Javier Hernandez to score last


The live Saturday lunchtime offering in the Premier League is a mouth-watering and potentially controversial affair as Manchester United host Liverpool at Old Trafford. United start the match as 5/6 favourites, while Liverpool are priced 10/3 and the draw 13/5 by Paddy Power, but the main focus will be on Luis Suarez and Patrice Evra.


Suarez and Evra meet for the first time since the Liverpool man was charged with racially abusing Evra. Paddy Power go 4/11 for the pair to shake hands on Saturday and 15/8 that the pair avoid a handshake. Furthermore, the Irish bookmaker will refund all losing first/last scorer, correct score and scorecast single bets if Luis Suarez scores anytime at Old Trafford.

Bearing that in mind, it could be worth a look at Javier Hernandez to score last at odds of 11/2. Hernandez scored in the final ten minutes of both Man Utd v Liverpool matches last season and he repeated the trick with a late equaliser in the thrilling 3-3 draw with Chelsea last weekend. Furthermore, paddy power go evens that the last goal of Saturday's match is scored after the 73rd minute.

United should be buoyant after they fought back from 3-0 down at Stamford Bridge and they will be looking to extend a formidable home record against Liverpool. They have won 29 and lost only two of their last 33 league games at Old Trafford and they have won seven of their last eight at home against Liverpool.

Furthermore, they have scored sixteen in their last five fixtures at Old Trafford and they have scored in every league match there, with over 2.5 goals available at 5/6. With their injury crisis easing, as Nani, Phil Jones and Tom Cleverley near full fitness, United look well set to step up their title bid.

The concern for Liverpool will be their lack of goals this season as they have scored just 28 goals in 24 league games. They have the worst conversion rate of chances in the league and United can be backed at 6/4 to keep a clean sheet and 9/4 to win to nil with Paddy Power, which looks decent value as they have kept clean sheets in three of their last four at home.

Liverpool, who welcome Jose Enrique back from injury, may have won four of the last seven matches against United but their recent domestic form has been pretty poor as they have won just two of their last six in all competitions. They did beat United 2-1 in the FA Cup two weeks ago but even the most faithful Liverpool fan would admit that they were lucky.

We expect United to gain swift revenge for that defeat, although it could be a controversial match as there have been four penalties in the last six meetings between the two, with Paddy Power going 2/1 for Phil Dowd to award a penalty on Saturday.

With Paddy Power's money back offer in mind, it could be worth a punt on the correct score of 2-1 to United at odds of 7/1 as they look to move to the top of the Premier League, with Man City not in action until Sunday.

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